تحلیل فضایی مخاطرات محیطی

تحلیل فضایی مخاطرات محیطی

تحلیل فضایی اثرات ناامنی غذایی بر مرگ‌ومیر کرونا در نواحی روستایی، مطالعه موردی بخش مرکزی شهرستان زنجان

نویسندگان
دانشگاه زنجان
چکیده
تأمین غذا جهت تحقق امنیت غذایی از اهداف مهم توسعه در تمامی کشورها تلقی می­شود، کاهش ناامنی غذایی برای دولت‌ها به­عنوان یک دستاورد مهم سیاسی و اجتماعی قلمداد می­گردد. یکی از اثرات ناامنی غذایی در نواحی روستایی بر روی تعداد مبتلایان و مرگ‌ومیر ناشی از همه‌گیری کرونا است. در همین راستا تحقیق حاضر به دنبال پاسخ به سؤالات زیر است که وضعیت ناامنی غذایی نواحی روستاهای موردمطالعه در چه سطحی قرار دارد؟ و ناامنی غذایی چه تأثیری بر توزیع فضایی مبتلایان و مرگ‌ومیر کرونا دارد؟ نوع تحقیق کاربردی و از نظر ماهیت توصیفی-تحلیلی است. جامعه آماری این تحقیق تمامی روستاهای بخش مرکزی شهرستان زنجان است که به‌صورت تمام شماری این روستاها بررسی شده‌اند. روش گردآوری اطلاعات به‌صورت کتابخانه‌ای و روش تجزیه‌وتحلیل داده‌ها نیز به‌صورت آمار توصیفی و تحلیل فضایی است. یافته‌های تحقیق نشان می‌دهد، میانگین ناامنی غذایی روستاهای موردمطالعه برابر با ۳۶.08 درصد است، بالاترین میزان ناامنی غذایی مربوط به دهستان تهم با 40.76 درصد و کمترین میزان ناامنی غذایی مربوط به دهستان معجزات است. جهت تحلیل اثرات ناامنی غذایی بر مرگ‌ومیر ناشی از کرونا از رگرسیون وزن‌دار جغرافیایی استفاده شده است، بر همین مبنا بر اساس نتایج به‌دست‌آمده از این ابزار تحلیل فضایی، پهنا برابر با 172/0، مربع‌های باقی‌مانده برابر با 2836، عدد مؤثر برابر با 16.86، زیگما برابر با 5.64 و مقدار ضریب تعیین که میزان ارتباط خطی بین دو متغیر را اندازه‌گیری می‌کند برابر با 72/0 محاسبه شده است، بنابراین می‌توان گفت با افزایش ناامنی غذایی میزان مرگ‌ومیر ناشی از کرونا نیز افزایش پیدا می‌کند.
کلیدواژه‌ها

عنوان مقاله English

Environmental analysis of food insecurity on food mortality in rural areas, study of the central part of Zanjan township

نویسندگان English

Sediqeh Mozaffari Qarah bolagh
brhrooz Mozaffari Qarah bolagh
mehdi cheraghi
MSc of Geography and Rural Planning, Department of Geography, Zanjan University, Zanjan, Iran. ​
چکیده English

Providing food to achieve food security is considered one of the important goals of development in all countries, reducing food insecurity is considered an important political and social achievement for governments. One of the effects of food insecurity in rural areas is the number of patients and deaths caused by the corona epidemic. In this regard, the current research seeks to answer the following questions: What is the level of food insecurity in the studied villages? And what effect does food insecurity have on the spatial distribution of corona patients and deaths? The type of research is applied and descriptive-analytical in nature. The statistical population of this research is all the villages in the central part of Zanjan city, which were surveyed in full. The method of collecting information is in the form of a library and the method of data analysis is in the form of descriptive statistics and spatial analysis. The findings of the research show that the average food insecurity of the studied villages is equal to 36.08%, the highest level of food insecurity is related to Taham district with 40.76% and the lowest level of food insecurity is related to Mirizat district. In order to analyze the effects of food insecurity on the mortality caused by Corona, geographic weighted regression has been used, based on the results obtained from this spatial analysis tool, the width is equal to 0.172, the remaining squares are equal to 2836, the effective number is equal to 16.86, Sigma is equal to 5.64 and the coefficient of determination, which measures the degree of linear relationship between two variables, has been calculated as equal to 0.72, so it can be said that with the increase in food insecurity, the death rate due to Corona will also increase.

کلیدواژه‌ها English

rural development
Food security
human development
Zanjan province
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